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Carolina Panthers at San Diego Chargers Preview 2012

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Week 15 NFL Free Bet Game: Carolina Panthers @ San Diego Chargers

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Last week we let you down. The mood and attitude in the Atlanta locker room was down, the players were lazy and seemed not to be paying attention after locking in a playoff spot and division title. This week we turn our focus to the West Coast as Carolina travel cross country to Qualcomm to take on San Diego.
The Panthers pulled off a surprise win over the Falcons last week but still remain on the bottom of the NFC South. Carolina run one of the most balanced offenses in the NFL, averaging 28 runs and 29 passes per game per week. Their biggest issue offensively is Newtown. He is the focus, their leading rusher and passer, so everything falls on his shoulders. This season on the road the Panthers are 2-4 (beating the Eagles and Redskins), although they are yet to travel west. Defensively they are a top 10 defense in in terms of points throughout the 3rd and 4th quarters. This is what keeps them in the game. The Panthers have the best a pass defense on the road this season only allowing 175 total yards, unfortunately they give up an average of 140 yards on the ground a week.
San Diego meanwhile are looking to finish out a disappointing year in style. They own a 12th ranked defense (points/per game) who are conceding only 20 points per game with a decent offense which seems to be in a mid season funk. Earlier in the year they were scoring over 24 points per game at home, recently playing a tougher schedule at home (Baltimore, Cincinnati) that has dropped to 17 points. I expect Rivers and co to fight for their jobs over the next few weeks, and am expecting a explosion from them. The Chargers already control the ball for 32 minutes a game, I expect them to use their running game to control the clock and get the ball close to the end zone before using Rivers to finish the job.
The bookies have San Diego as 3 points favourites, a mere field goal. This is a line I feel we can take advantage of. A field goal or more gets us money back. Willing to trust the Chargers at home in this one to get the job done.

San Diego -3 (2 units)

Have Fun and Gamble responsibly

    Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers NFL Tips

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    Week 14 NFL Free Bet
    Game: Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers
    After a few quiet weeks we return with a division clash. The 11-1 Falcons travel to Carolina who are coming off an emotional week in Kansas City. The bookies have set the line at -3 favouring the Falcons. Feels like this line is massively underrated. The Falcons have only won 1 game by 3 or less. Last week the Falcons sealed the division title and were the first NFC team to lock in a playoff spot. The Panthers mean while have struggled all year – particularly at home and within the division. At home this year the Panthers are 1-5, ATS they are a little better 5-7. Poor production on both sides of the ball have been the cause of this, the Panthers rank 25th in overall offense and 30th in overall defense .
    The Falcons suffered their only loss on the road to the Saints earlier this year. There are suggestions from a few within the gambling community this could be a game which Atlanta slips and falls to someone they should beat. Armed with a offense which is ranked 2nd in overall points per game and a defense ranked 6th overall the Falcons are primed to shut down the Panthers. In their last 5 meetings dating back to 2010, Atlanta have once each (5-0) – the narrowest margin was by 2 points earlier this year.

    Atlanta -3 (4 units)

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      Green Bay at Detroit Match Tips

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      Week 11 NFL Free Bet Game: Green Bay @ Detroit

      After last weeks shocking performance from the Giants that we didn’t see coming we return to a staple. This week we like the Packers over the Lions in Detroit by 3. The line has opened early as low as a field goal. Expect to see action come from sharps almost straight away and watch the number skyrocket.

      Detroit have been performing statistically well this season. Stafford is one of the NFL’s top 5 in passing yards, also has the highest number of attempts. The Lions offence lacks balance, only running the ball one-third of the time. Their only wins this season have come against St Louis, Seattle, Philadelphia and Jacksonville. Each win has seen Stafford throw for over 300 yards, while their rushing attack maxes out at 70 yards against Philadelphia. On the bright side Detroit’s pass defence is actually pretty solid – ranked 8th in the NFL – allowing 214 yards per game. Unfortunately the Lions pedigree doesn’t match the Packers.

      Green Bay are fresh off victories against Chicago, New Orleans and Houston. The Packers strength lies in their turnover differential, a solid +4. More importantly they have forced 10 interceptions through 9 games. Stafford is prone to toss a few interceptions right into the arms of a waiting safety. Their pass defence will be key in shutting Detroit down – they be able to slow Stafford down by locking down his receivers and rushing Matthews from the outside. Green Bay have forced 28 sacks this year with Matthews collecting 9 bounties of his own. Rodgers and co will scientifically dissect Detroits secondary to squeeze out just enough yards and score at will.

      Green Bay -3 (4 units)
      Have fun and gamble responsibly.

      Dont forget to follow both @bettingportal and @mono85 on Twitter today.

        New York Giants at Cincinnati NFL Week 10 Preview

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        Week 10 Game: New York Giants @ Cincinnati.

        This week we look at a SuperBowl contender to hold off a surprise playoff team from last season. The bookies have set the spread at 3.5 favouring the Giants. New York are a strange team. They are amazing on the road and average to good at home. Every win this season has come by 4 points or more. Their biggest loss this season was last weeks 4 point heartbreaker to the Steelers. This team is 10 points better than the Bengals. They are 3-1 away from home this season.
        Comparing these two is tough as they dont play each other often. Using the Steelers as a bench mark for each team we see the Giants defense will be the difference maker. Pittsburgh threw for 159 more yards on the Bengals while only an extra 77 yards against the Giants. Both teams were out gained on the ground by 90 yards. Eli is a better QB than Andy, the Giants WR’s are better then the Bengals, the Giants Linebackers, Safeties and defensive front are stronger, faster and smarter. This line should be higher.
        New York Giants -3.5 (3 units)
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          NFL Week 9 Preview

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          Multi: Denver -3.5/ Sea (Win)
          This week we serve up some value to you with a tasty multi. It feature two teams on the rise taking on teams who are retooling. Look for Denver to add to their win streak at a venue where 3/5 times they have covered the spread. The Bengals are coming off a bye week but are having trouble maintaining intensity for 60 minutes. Denver are a point scoring machine at the moment averaging a very tidy 29 points/game this season. Unfortunately for the Bengals they concede about 26 points/game on average as well, itll be tough to see a immature Bengals defense slowing Peyton and co down.
          The next matchup looks tough on paper, especially considering Minnesota’s record. Take the Seahawks to win this game as they return home for the 1st time in 3 weeks. Seattle are a different team at home, high scoring and confident. Their defense moves faster and hits harder. Their home results speak for themselves as they can list New England & Green Bay as victims this season alone. Minnesota might cover the spread using their running game but Seattle are a far better team in Seattle.
          Denver -3.5/ Sea (Win) (3 units)
          Odds: $2.69

          Good luck and gamble responsibly.

          Tips provided by @mono85

            Seattle at San Francisco NFL Preview Thursday Night Football

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            Check out our NFL preview for the Thursday Night Game by our NFL Expert Sam.
            Week 7 NFL Match PReview Game: Seattle @ San Francisco

            This is the best Thursday Night game the NFL has served up so far this season. The line is SF -7.5 and is way too high. The key hear is Seattle’s defense. Simply put they are 2nd best run defence team and ranked 13th against the run. I love how the Seattle linebackers are forcing opposing quarterbacks to scramble. This is the defense who sacked Rodgers 8 times a fews ago.
            Seattle has been playing their opposition tight this year and often getting close but not close enough. 4 of their last 5 games have been decided by 6 points or less. In this series of games San Francisco has been on top recently winning the last 3. Neither team has experienced the depth of quality they have now. If you are looking for a guide to the over/under of 37.5 look towards the under as the under is king. In the last 12 games combined the under has gone 8-4-1.

            Tip: Seattle +&
            Lean: Under 37.5 points
            Have fun and gamble responsibly.

              Atlanta at Washington Betting Preview NFL Week 5

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              Another big game in the NFL now into Week 5 of the NFL Regular season, our game preview this week is for Atlanta @ Washington

              Atlanta come into roaring into FedEx Field with a stunning 4-0 record so far. Washington come home with an impressive 2 wins on the road and only dropping a game at home against the Bengals by a touchdown. Griffin vs Ryan could be one of the best QB battles of the year as Matty Ice continues to play like an MVP, but he hasnt been tested yet. Griffin meanwhle is the 3rd best fantasy QB and his leg speed has proven a problem for defense’s to tackle. Expect the Redskins to hang around as they have not won or lost a game by more then 8 points this season. Unfortunatley this week they face an offensive powerhouse.
              Atlanta has long been home to the explosive offensive but recently they had struggled. This week the head out of the confines of their dome and onto the windy turf of FedEx. Normallly when punting on Atlanta inside or outside is a factor – not this week. The Falcons are a flawless 2-0 outside this season. The safest bet for this game would be the total; over 50.5 points. Both teams average 30 points per game, Washington have failed to stop a team scoring 30+ on them only once this season (last week vs Tampa Bay). I recommend taking the Falcons -3 as they have a outstanding offense coupled with a hungry, snappy young defense which will cause problems for Griffin and his receivers.

              Atlanta -3 (4 units)

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                Miami at Arizona NFL Betting Week 4

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                NFL Week 4 Miami @ Arizona


                The Cardinals strut into their 3rd home game of the season favoured with huge wins over the Patriots and Eagles in weeks 2 and 3 led by their top 5 defense. Its hard to believe in a team driven down field by part time QB Kevin Kolb who has an incredible completion percentage of 64%. The most exciting aspect of the Cardinals is their balance on offense, an equal 50/50 pass and run split. Couple this with a strong defense which has so far this season been incredible. This defense is getting to opposing QB’s sacking them 12 times this season an average of 4 per game. The Base 3-4 defense is keeping opposing QB’s at bay and forcing them to throw into heavy coverage as Dockett and Williams come roaring down hill at them. Making their job easier this week is the loss of Reggie Bush for the Dolphins.
                Miami began the season with limited expectations and ‘Hard Knocks’ only enforced this. Bush has been a surprise exploding in week 2 & 3 before being slowed by a knock in week 3. Saying this rookie Head Coach Philbin is giving Tannerhill every chance to succeed by implementing a pass first offense. This plays right into the hands of the Cardinals, especially in Arizona. Miami have no studs on offense, weak receivers and a non-threatening running game make point scoring difficult. It’s hard to believe Arizona are for real this season, but their recent form over New England and Philadelphia cant be ignored. Expect Fitzgerald to have a day out against the slower Miami secondary, it is time for Arizona to get the engine started in their running game. The line sits at Arizona -6 at the moment and this is money for jam. We recommend taking anything from -6 to -7 .

                ARI -6 (3 units)

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                  Houston at Denver Betting Match Up Tips NFL week 3

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                  Houston at Denver is our feature game this week.

                  Peyton returns to the safe playpen of Mile High as the Texans venture out of Houston for the first away game this season. Houston are a lazy 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games after winning by 14 points the week earlier. Combine this with 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points the game before and its clear once the Texans get on a roll they don’t stop.
                  Denver come home after a bone crushing, painfully long game against the Falcons in Atlanta – travel shouldn’t be an issue but their offense will be. Atalanta aren’t a highly regarded defense and they way they toyed with the Broncos offensive line is a worry. The Texans will exploit this with their bend don’t break defense, eventually they will get you and they are hungry. Denver has some young studs on defense including Dumervill and Miller who could distrupt and will block up a number of gaps slowing Foster & Tate.
                  This game will come down to who controls the ball better, maintaining field position and time of possession. Houston QB Shaub wont rip defense’s apart, he is a smart, methodical QB who will take a sack rather then an interception. Manning is a gunslinger and turnovers could be an issue again. Willis McGahee will be key for Denver, if he can pick up Manning’s slack and move the chains Denver stand a chance. I don’t see how the bookies have this line right though. Houston are balanced on both sides of the ball while the Denver offense is still being held together with sticky tape. With Sportingbet.com.au you can get HOU -1, an absolute steal. If you can get anywhere from HOU -1 to HOU -3 get on it for 4 units.

                  HOU – 1 (4 units)

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                    Baltimore at Philadelphia Match Up Betting NFL Week 2

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                    This week we tackle our first week of NFL betting on BettingPortal. For most teams it’s either their first home or away game. The game we look at this week is Baltimore at Philadelphia.

                    The eagles look to defend a traditional home field advantage against the white-hot Ravens. I love the Ravens head-to-head in this game. Flaccid and Vick have never met in regular or pre season competition. I’m not going to bore you with stats. Just think about Baltimore offense vs Philadelphia defense, Philadelphia offense vs Baltimore defense. The ravens have the advantage of being able to reliable control the clock with Ray Rice (barely fumbles or turns over). If the Ravens need to move the ball quickly Harbaugh hands the ball to Flaco and says find Smith deep.

                    Andy Reid is one of the greatest NFC coaches of all time. He is going to have to put in some late nights to crack this Baltimore defense which as strong as a Russian tank. I can’t see a Eagle receiver breaking 100 yards in this game nor Vick breaking 250 on this LB/S corp. Just on these match ups alone the bookies have the Ravens undervalued.

                    During the week 1 win over the Bengals the Ravens offense finally found the mojo they have spent years searching for. They beat down the Bengals quickly on monday night but it won’t be as easy this week. The books have undervalued BAL’s flashy performance against the Bengals and could cost them alot, they are still leaving alot of value on the board. The line at most books is still -1 Philadelphia showing you how close this game is. It will be hard to look past Flacco and Rice controlling the ball as they methodically move up and down the field.

                    On a scale of 1-5 units:

                    BAL win 2.5 units Best odds skybet 11/8

                    Good Luck & Responsible betting.
                    Sam