Heineken Cup Round 2 2012 Match Previews

After an exhilarating first weekend of action the Heineken Cup returns for its second round of action. There were impressive performances from the French giants with Toulouse, Toulon and Clermont all laying down markers with powerful wins. Exeter came extremely close to upsetting the defending champions Leinster, while Harlequins were extremely clinical as they produced a bonus point victory over Biarritz.

Here are my pick of the round two matches with best bets for each game:

Castres v Northampton – Friday 8pm

Castres endured a torrid start to their campaign and were soundly beaten 41-17 by Ulster, but despite the heavy loss the French side showed flashes of what they are capable of with a couple of well worked scores. Northampton produced a powerful second half display to earn a victory over Glasgow, with two George Pisi tries helping them claim maximum points from round one.
When these two sides met in France last season the hosts came out on top in an open game, and the home side are 4/6 favourites (Boylesports). The Saints are well priced at 11/8 (Paddy Power) but the home strength of French sides as to be taken into consideration.

Best Bets

Northampton to win – 11/8 (Paddy Power)
Northampton +4 – 10/11 (BetFred)
George Pisi (First Try) – 14/1 (Sky Bet)
Marc Andreu (Anytime Scorer) – 5/2 (William Hill)

Exeter v Clermont Auvergne – Saturday 6pm

The Exeter Chiefs showed no signs of nerves on their first Heineken Cup outing and came within three points of earning a draw with reigning champions Leinster. This weekend they return to Sandy Park and welcome another goliath of European rugby, Clermont Auvergne. The French side opened their account with a comfortable bonus point victory over the Scarlets, and they will be looking to consolidate their position at the top of the group.
Exeter have made Sandy Park a fortress over the past three seasons, with only a handful of teams leaving Devon with a victory, and as they proved in round one the Chiefs will be no pushovers. There is no doubting that this will be an extremely tight game, likely to be low on points, so Exeter’s handicap of +6 is a tempting prospect. Clermont are a classy outfit but they have tended to struggle away from home in recent years and their price of 4/9 (Sky Bet) isn’t worth backing.

Best Bets
Exeter +6 – 10/11 (BetFred)
Exeter to win – 11/5
Draw/Exeter – 25/1 (BetFred)
Exeter penalty (first scoring play) – 15/8 (Bet Fred)

Cardiff v Toulon – Sunday 12.45pm

Cardiff looked certain winners at half time of their opening match against Sale, after Alex Cuthbert’s hat-trick gave them 12 point lead. But Danny Cipriani inspired the hosts to remarkable comeback, and the Blues had to settle for a losing bonus point. By contrast Toulon started their campaign with a powerful display against Montpelier, with Delon Armitages two tries helping them to a bonus point win.
French sides traditionally struggle on their travels, but Toulon are a team who can handle the pressure of playing away from their own patch, and their odds on price of 4/11 is justified. Cardiff need to get back to winning ways and they can send out a big message with a win over the much fancied French side, they are best priced at 9/4 (Bet Victor).

Best Bets

Toulon -6 – 10/11 (BetFred)
Toulon penalty (first scoring play) – 6/4 (BetFred)
Cardiff/Toulon – 6/1 (BetFred)
Toulon by 6-10 – 9/2 (BetFred)

    Rugby Heineken Cup 2012 Preview

    This weekend sees the Heineken Cup return to our screens for another season of drama, bone crunching hits and unforgettable moments.

    Leinster will be looking to make history by becoming the first side to lift the famous trophy for a third consecutive year, but they know they face a tough battle with the likes of Toulouse, Leicester and Clermont Auvergne who are all desperate to wrestle the crown away from Joe Schmidt’s side.

    Elsewhere Exeter Chiefs make their first foray to European rugby’s top table, and they will be looking to claim some big scalps after a two terrific seasons in the Aviva Premiership. While the Jonny Wilkinson led Toulon will be hoping to make a huge statement after a blistering start to their domestic campaign.

    Pool 1 – (Edinburgh, Munster, Racing Metro and Saracens)

    Edinburgh shocked the world last season by winning their group and making it to the semi-finals, and while it is hard to see them repeating that effort they will be no pushovers.
    Munster are a team that is synonymous with the Heineken Cup, having won the competition twice in 2006 and 2008, won every game in the groups last season and will be a major player once again.
    Saracens topped their group last year, but were undone by the brilliance of Clermont Auvergne in the quarter-finals, the addition of Chris Ashton makes them very dangerous.
    Racing Metro are a stereotypical French side, can be scintillating one minute and completely awful the next, could be dangerous if they get it together but I see them bottom of this group.

    Group Winner – Munster 7/4 (BetVictor)

    Munster have history and pedigree in this competition and I expect them to top this group just ahead of Saracens, who are generally 13/8. Edinburgh offer value at 12/1 with Stan James and are worth a punt if you fancy a shock.

    Pool 2 – (Toulouse, Leicester, Ospreys, Benetton Treviso)

    Toulouse are the kings of the Heineken Cup, having lifted the title four times. They squeezed through a tough group last year only to be knocked out by Edinburgh, they are desperate to clinch their fifth title.
    Leicester are aching for a big showing this season after failing to get out of the groups last term. While I expect them to be up there at the end of the groups, their big game mentality could be questioned.
    Ospreys are a team who have promised so much and delivered very little in recent years. Winning the Rabo Pro12 last season proves they have the talent but often struggle to find what is required in Europe.
    Benetton Treviso should be the whipping boys in this group, but as they showed last year with their victory over Biarritz they can be a handful at home.

    Group Winner – Leicester 9/4 (Boylesport)

    I like the look of Richard Cockerill’s team this year, they have started the season very well and have a great squad. Toulouse are priced at 10/11 with BetVictor and will be there or there abouts, the opening game between the two sides will be crucial.

    Pool 3 – (Harlequins, Biarritz, Connacht, Zebre)

    Harlequins are itching to make their mark in the Heineken Cup, after falling at the group stage last season. They won the Challenge Cup two years ago, and certainly have the players to go far this time around.
    Biarritz are one of the enigmas of European rugby, a team packed with stars that can never get across the finishing line. The French giants have lost two finals, but they did win the Challenge Cup last year.
    Connacht can be tricky opposition for any team, beat Harlequins in the final group game last season to knock the English side out. The addition of fly-half Dan Parks will add big game experience to their ranks.
    Italian side Zebre are one of the new boys in this year’s competition and will put up a fight but should finish bottom of the pile.

    Group Winner – Harlequins 10/11 (Sky Bet)

    Led by the inspirational Chris Robshaw the Quins should emerge from the group as winners. Biarritz and are 6/5 with Sporting Bet and with Dimitri Yachvili kicking the goals they will go close, but I can’t see them getting the better of the English champions.
    Pool 4 – (Northampton, Ulster, Castres, Glasgow)
    Northampton came so close to lifting the Heineken Cup in 2011. Exited at the group stages last season, but have started the season very well with five wins from six.
    Last year’s runners up Ulster played some amazing rugby on their way to the final. They lost young centre Nevin Spence in tragic circumstances before the season started, expect them to turn in some massive performances for him.
    Castres have found it very tough in the last few seasons, picked up one victory in the groups last season, but that did come against Northampton.
    Glasgow finished second in Pool 3 last year, but didn’t pick up enough points to progress or even drop into the Challenge Cup, another tough year ahead.

    Group Winner – Ulster 6/4 (Sky Bet)

    I’ve opted for Ulster after their great campaign last year and the strong start they’ve made to the Rabo Pro12. Northampton at 11/8 with Bet Fred should qualify as a best runner-up, but I think the Irish province have a slightly stronger squad which will see them finish top.

    Pool 5 – (Leinster, Clermont Auvergne, Scarlets, Exeter Chiefs)

    Nothing more can be said about this Leinster side, champions for the last two seasons and bidding for a fourth title. Blessed with an outstanding squad and genius coach in Joe Schmidt, would be no surprise to see them make history.
    Clermont topped their group last year, but couldn’t overcome Leinster in a classic semi-final. One the best squads in Europe, almost unbeatable at home but can sometimes be vulnerable on the road.
    The Scarlets play some of the best rugby of any club side in the world, and when they get it right they are difficult to live with. May not qualify but could ruin another team’s campaign.
    It has been an unbelievable couple of years for Exeter, pushed on after survival in their first season in the Premiership and finishing 5th. No team will enjoy their trip to Sandy Park, will be a very tough nut to crack.

    Group Winner – Leinster 8/11 (Sky Bet)

    The reigning champions have been handed a very tough group this season, but they have the class to come out on top. Clermont are 6/4 with bookies and are the likeliest challengers in this group, but their away form makes them easily opposable.
    Pool 6 – (Toulon, Sale, Cardiff, Montpellier)
    Toulon have assembled one of the best squads in world rugby over the past few seasons, and look set for a big campaign. They currently sit first in the Top 14 with 7 wins from 8 outings. An extremely powerful side that can go all the way.
    Sale have endured a torrid start to the domestic campaign, failing to pick up a single victory. This is their first European campaign since they left Edgeley Par, and they need some victories to rebuild confidence.
    Cardiff have been very consistent in recent years, reaching the semi-finals in 2009 and lifting the Challenge Cup in 2010. Another team with a very talented squad led by Wales skipper Sam Warburton.
    Montpellier finished bottom of their pool last year, but came close to beating Leinster and with the likes of Mamuka Gorgodze in the pack they will strong opponents.

    Group Winner – Toulon 1/2 (Sky Bet)

    This star studded team should have no problems topping this group, their home form is outstanding and they have shown they can win on the road. Welsh rugby is at an all-time high at the moment and Cardiff are good value at 6/1 with Sporting Bet, but it is hard to see them finishing above Toulon.

    Tournament Winner – Toulon 7/1 (Sky Bet)

    I really think this is the chance for the French giants to step up to the plate. With the likes of Jonny Wilkinson, Gethin Jenkins, Matt Giteau and Juan Martin Fernandez Lobbe in their ranks I can see them going all the way.
    Leinster are best priced at 4/1 with Sky Bet and are many peoples tip, but I can’t see them winning three consecutive titles. Leicester are a great price of 18/1 with Boylesports and are worth an each-way punt given their history and current squad.

    Paddy Power Money Back Specials

      Paddy Power Free Bet £20

    Rugby Heineken Cup Special
    All Heineken Cup Games

    If a number 11 scores the first try in any of the this weekend’s Heineken Cup matches PAddy will refund all losing try scorer bets on that match.

      Catalans v Leeds Rhinos Betting Tips Sunday 10 July 2011

      Catalans take on Leeds Rhinos on Sunday 10 July 2011 @ 16:45 the game is live on Sky Sports HD 2. So far this season backing against Leeds on the betting handicaps has been a fairly profitable exercise. This has especially been the case when they have faced up against so called lesser opposition. Defeats by Bradford, Hull KR and Harlequins serve as examples.

      Last week against Wigan, however, despite failing to improve on their position in the league table by picking up the two points, Leeds did manage to part me and some of my ‘hard earned’ by restricting Wigan to a two point win after backing Wigan in running at half time to clear a four point handicap! Leeds resistance and spirit in that second half was very impressive, in spite of my money inspired encouragement of the Warriors.
      Now, cricket captains are often criticised for ‘chasing the ball’ when fields are quickly manoevered in order to place a man exactly where the ball has disappeared to the boundary and I am wary that the same can happen when searching for a winning punt. However, on this occasion I believe that there is ample justification for doing just that and I will be placing my dollars exactly where would have been successful last weekend by backing leeds to beat the catalans with the generous aid of a widely available six point handicap.

      The regular superleague season is already in its final third and it has historically been the case that the best sides produce their best teams produce their best form in order to gain territory in the top eight. Leeds find themselves in unfamiliar territory at the moment as they currently trail the top two not only in terms of points but significantly in terms of class. I am backing Leeds to finish in at least fifth position this season. They themselves will be pushing for fourth and the benefits that this bring for the playoffs. Beating the Catalans on Sunday is central to Leeds’ ambitions of achieving this spot.
      It is an easy conclusion to reach and one which will no doubt be churned out by Sky’s ever resourceful commentary team, whom I am normally loathe to agree with, but I do think that Leeds’ performance against Wigan last Friday will prove to be the turning point of Leeds’ season. When I checked the betting handicaps on Thursday I expected to see the Rhinos given a scratch handicap against the Cats. Don’t forget that Leeds were only a dubious video refereeing decision away from taking a late lead against Wigan when THAT Danny Maguire ‘try’ was ruled out after his grubber was adjudged to be a knock on. Does anyone think that the bookmakers would have been as generous if Leeds had come away from that game with the victory?

      My ‘informed’ decision to back Leeds on Sunday also comes from what I perceive to be an imminent dip in form from the Catalans. The Catalans also graced our screen last weekend in what, for the most part, was a fairly uninspiring game away at Bradford. On paper the Catalans seem to be in a good vein of form after a convincing win against Castleford followed up by the away win at Bradford. However, it seems that Castleford are in steep decline and I think that any team in superleague (Quins and Wakefield aside) would have turned over the Bulls that day. I don’t think that any neutral who watched the game would have been impressed by the Catalans’ performance, other than the ageless Steven Menzies (who was performing at stand off) and the ever impressive Clint Greenshields. Credit must be given to the Catalans for their resiliant display after losing their aggressive forward David Ferriol to a red card with over half an hour remaining in the game. However, I put this down more to Bradford’s inadequacies than to any Catalan heroics, I am sure that Mick Potter would agree.

      One thing that has encouraged my anti Leeds betting this year is their lack of half back who can kick the ball effectively in attacking areas. Danny Maguire is most effective, as he was in the last 20 minutes against Wigan, when he plays instinctively rather than when he is the lynch pin in planned moves. He must be crying out for an orchestrating half back partner to accompany him such as his opposite number on Sunday, Scott Dureau. Brian McDermott has recognised this by shifting Sinfield to half back but I am not convinced that this has quite worked as yet, although there were signs of better link up to the centres under his guidance last week. McDermott seems to have recognised that Leeds’ strengths are on the outside flanks. It was noticeable last week how urgently Leeds shipped the ball out to their gallopping three quarters. One player who will benefit from this is Ben Jones-Bishop. Nobody could have failed to be impressed by Jones-Bishop’s rounding of Pat Richards on Leeds right hand side on Friday. Hopefully there will be more of the same on Sunday!

      Had the bookmakers obliged my expectations by offering a scratch handicap for this game then I may have been looking elsewhere on the fixture list for value, however the buffer of six points in a game that Leeds will be desperately seeking to win seems to be too good to turn down. I am further encouraged by Leeds preparation for the game as they have been in France acclimatising for a few days already. For those with a more ambitious mindset, Leeds are generally available at 9/5 to beat the Catalans outright.
      Good luck with all your rugby punting this weekend!

        England V Australia Betting

        Last weekend Martin Johnson endured his for the first time loss as England coach as the Lions were crushed by Australia at Twickenham. England will be looking for rebound back tomorrow as they face Republic of South Africa (live on Sky Sports 2 from 2pm) and Sky Bet is proposing 10/11 for England to revenge their World Cup frustration of 2007 and 13/8 for them to be leading at both half time and full time. Republic of South Africa, who is coming away an four points win over Scotland, are 4/6 to win the match with a handicap head start of 4.5 points and it’s 5/1 for the 1st scoring play to be an South African try. Read more England V Australia Betting