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Liverpool v Reading Match Preview 2012

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Liverpool boss Brendan Rodgers is looking to get his first home win in the Premier League against former employees Reading on Saturday afternoon.
The Reds have played well this season but just haven’t got the results to match their performances.
Rodgers is facing a fitness crisis for the Reading game after finding out this week that, striker; Fabio Borini will be out for three months.
There will also be a late fitness test for Goalkeeper Pepe Reina who felt a twinge in his hamstring during a half-time warm up on international duty for Spain.
Injuries could give opportunities to young forwards Samed Yesil or Adam Morgan who will be looking for an opportunity after the development of a number academy players this year.
Also goalkeeper Brad Jones could start his first Premier League game for Liverpool since he signed for the club.
Midfielder Jonjo Shelvey is also available again after suspension.
Reading are still looking for their first win of the season and will want to get out of the relegation zone and look up the table soon.
Reading, similar to Liverpool have put in a number of good performances but haven’t been able to get the results.
Striker Noel Hunt is a doubt with a heel problem but midfielder Mikele Leigertwood has recovered from a dead leg.
There are no new injury worries for Brian McDermott.
Team News:
Liverpool (from): Reina, Wisdom, Skrtel, Agger, Johnson, Gerrard, Allen, Sahin, Suso, Suarez, Sterling, Jones, Carragher, Coates, Henderson, Shelvey, Cole, Assaidi, Downing, Morgan, Yesil.
Reading (from): McCarthy, Taylor, Gunter, Cummings, Gorkss, Pearce, Mariappa, Shorey, Harte, McAnuff, Guthrie, Leigertwood, Tabb, McCleary, Kebe, Pogrebnyak, Le Fondre, Hunt, Robson-Kanu, Church, Roberts.
Betting:
Liverpool: 2/5 (William Hill)
Draw: 4/1 (bookies )
Reading: 19/2 (Bet Victor)
Luis Suarez 1st Goal: 7/2 (Coral)
Steven Gerrard 1st Goal: 6/1
Suso 1st Goal: 9/1 (Paddy Power)
Pavel Pogrebnyak 1st Goal: 12/1 (Blue Square)
Adam Le Fondre 1st Goal: 18/1 (Bwin)
Jobi McAnuff 1st Goal: 22/1 (bookies)
My Tip:
With Martin Skrtel a threat from set-pieces backing the centre half as an anytime goalscorer would be my bet. 13/2 (Paddy Power)

Follow Paul on twitter @paulphilbin

    Sunderland AFC V Newcastle United Betting Preview

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    Sunday sees Newcastle United travel to a sold out Stadium of Light in what will be the 147th Tyne-Wear derby.
    In what is bound to be a heated encounter, Newcastle are looking to win for the second year in a row on Wearside, after beating the black cats 1-0 thanks to a Ryan Taylor Free-kick last August.
    Sunderland, on the other hand, will be looking to avenge Shola Ameobi’s injury-time equaliser at St. James’ Park in March.
    From the previous 146 meetings, Newcastle have the edge over their neighbours with 53 wins compared to the 45 wins amassed by Sunderland, there have been 48 draws.
    The Black Cats face an uphill task as United have lost just once on Wearside in the last 15 games, a run that stretches back to their Division Two loss at Roker Park in April 1980.
    Sunderland’s solitary win came in 2008, as goals from Djibril Cissé and Keiron Richardson sealed a 2-1 win for Roy Keane’s side.
    The home side are missing Phil Bardsley, Wes Brown and James McClean through injury, while club captain Lee Cattermole is suspended after picking up a red card in the Capital One Cup.
    The Magpies have Ryan Taylor, Dan Gosling and Haris Vuckic missing from their ranks, but Steven Taylor, Fabricio Coloccini and Tim Krul could return.
    News on the fitness of Shane Ferguson is awaited after he withdrew from the Northern Ireland squad with a hip problem while Yohan Cabaye played the full game for France against Spain on Tuesday to confirm his recovery after recent reported stomach problems.
    Martin Atkinson has been given the huge responsibility of refereeing the game. The Yorkshireman has failed to produce a red card in his last 12 games; it would be no surprise if this came to an end on Sunday.
    The game will be aired live on SkySports1 from 1pm.

    Selected Match Odds

    Sunderland 6/4
    Draw 23/10
    Newcastle 15/8
    First scorer-
    Fletcher 5/1
    BA 6/1
    Cissé 6/1
    Saha 11/2
    Sessegnon 13/2
    Ben Arfa 9/1
    Source: odds checker

      Newcastle Vs Bordeaux Preview Europa League

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      Newcastle Vs Bordeaux Betting Tips

      Newcastle have played 6 games in 16 days and are therefore must be fatigue. They managed to get a result with a less than full strength team. There is no secret they may not play a full strength team, and it may explain why Newcastle have drifted out to the excellent price of 22/15 at Pinnacle. Newcastle are as short as evens at Ladbrokes.

      Best match odds

      Newcastle – 22/15 Pinnacle
      Draw – 12/5 Ladbrokes
      Bordeaux – 23/10 Skybet

      French teams have not got a good record against English teams, and Bordeaux have losses of 1-0, 2-0, 3-0 and 4-0, so out of interest Newcastle 5-0 is 200/1 with Boylesports if you think the trend may continue.

      We think there could be another low scoring game and the French will do their best to get a goal. Under 2.5 goals is just 4/6, but we might take the price of both teams not to score at Boylesports 1/1 price. Keep an eye on team news, but we think the home support can rally on Newcastle and can achieve 3/4 at 32red on the draw no bet market or 4/11 Double Chance with .

      The Punt predictions:
      Ron Atkinson – Draw 12/5 Ladbrokes
      Derek McGovern – Bordeaux – 23/10 Skybet

        Liverpool Vs Udinese Betting Tips

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        Liverpool Vs Udinese

        Liverpool come into this game off the back of a 5-2 away win… at lowly Norwich, We are under the belief that gaffer Brendan Rodgers should be taking this competition as seriously as the league, to aid in restoring some faith in the fan base. Udinese come into this drawing the last two games 0-0 and we could see another low scoring game here.

        Match odds:

        Liverpool – 4/6 Totesport
        Draw – 29/10 Bet Victor
        Udinese – 5/1 Blue Square

        We anticipate this to be a low scoring game, assuming Liverpool put out an experienced outfit. We think the win price at home is too short to back as Liverpool are known for their goal-less results in Europe. They are hard to break down and Udinese have struggled for goals. You might want to take first goal after 27 mins at BetVictor’s 39/40 and Liverpool to score first 8/15 at the same firm.

        If Suarez plays he is 6/5 to score in 90 minutes, which may be a great bet, seeing as ne netted a hatrick at the weekend and is thirsty for goals. There is no reason why the half time result should be a draw, which pays 5/4 and also total goal minutes 5/6 for less than 120 minutes.

        If Liverpool want to sort themselves out, they need to put a strong line up out.

        Recommendation: *subject to team news*

        First goal after 27 mins at BetVictor’s 39/40
        Half time draw – 5/4

        * William Hill – The Punt predictions *
        Ron Atkinson – No bet
        Derek McGovern – Udinese +1 13/10

          Capital One Cup Third Round Betting Tips 2012

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          We enter the League cup and the form that Everton have been in, we install them as our favourites for the title, which are a fair 12/1 shot general.

          There is some value to be had in Tuesdays ties and we think that qualification and both teams to score markets are the markets to be had.

          Both teams to score

          We expect Chelsea to field a weakened side against championship Wolves with BetVictor being generous at 20/21 for both to score. Wolves had both teams score in all matches in this competition and although Chelsea have conceded just two goals in the premiership, the 20/21 is great value. Check team news before taking the punt.

          MK Dons have knocked out Blackburn and Cheltenham en route to their meeting with Sunderland. MK Dons have seen both teams scoring in all league cup games thus far, with the last two of their domestic games with the same outcome. They play Sunderland who have drawn all their games this season domestically and both teams have scored in all of their last three. Blue Square are 3/4 for both to score and this is a great price in reflection.

          Our last game on this market is between Southampton and Sheffield Wednesday. Wednesday will feel they have something to prove after their disappointing start to their domestic campaign. The majority of their games have seen both teams scoring and their opponents Southampton have seen all but one game see both teams scoring. Blue Square are best 7/10 for the both teams outcome, which is a terrific price

          Recommended betting:

          Both teams to score:

          Chelsea/Wolves 20/21 BetVictor *Subject to team news
          MK/Sunderland – 3/4 Blue Square
          Southampton/Sheffield Wednesday – 7/10 Blue Square

          To qualify (All singles)
          Everton: 45/100 BetVictor
          West Ham: 1/2 Will Hill
          Reading: 17/10 Bwin

          Best match odds courtesy of oddschecker:

          Man City (1/3) v (51/10) Aston Villa (41/4)
          Swindon (11/8) v (45/17) Burnley (26/11)
          Bradford (18/19) v (25/9) Burton (16/5)
          Leeds (117/29) v (53/17) Everton (5/6)
          Preston North End (9/5) v (23/9) Middlesbrough (17/10)
          Southampton (4/5) v (49/16) Sheffield Wednesday (4)
          MK Dons (11/4) v (38/15) Sunderland (6/5)
          Crawley (13/5) v (18/7) Swansea (5/4)
          West Ham (18/19) v (25/9) Wigan (18/5)
          Chelsea (2/7) v (65/12) Wolverhampton (122/11)

            Sub-market betting – 15th September 2012

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            Sub-market betting – 15th September 2012

            We have been testing features over the last few weeks and will test another, being the sub-markets. Did you usually top flight have in excess of 100 markets pre-match and in play. Why take an outcome, which may be 90 minute, dependent, where you can bet on other markets, which may/may not require the full match time.

            We will look at the double chance market this week, as well as time of first goal markets.

            The double chance market is basically a +1 market, which has been around for a long time. Renamed and repackaged, double chance gives you exactly what it says on the tin. You can bet on either team to win, home win or draw or away win and draw. The odds are generally very short and sometimes not back able due to the price. This market is particularly handy on betting on teams you think will not lose!

            Time of first goal is exactly as it states, will there be an early goal? Usually each match will be priced up in over or under minutes.

            Time of first goal:

            Our first game looks at Barnsley versus Blackpool. Blackpool have had just once occurrence of scoring in the first 30 minutes and Barnsley have had none. Coral are best 11/10 for the first goal beyond 28 minutes, and with having Barnsley at home, they will be defending in front of their home crowd. Double chance betting We have ignored the timings of goals being scored and conceded and think the price represents value.

            Recommended betting – time of first goal: over 28 minutes 11/10 Coral

            Bournemouth entertain Hartlepool on the last of our games in this market. Five of the home sides goals have been scored beyond the half hour mark, and six have been conceded at the same point or beyond. Hartlepool have netted just one and conceded one in the same timeframe, which makes Coral’s price of even money on 28 minutes or beyond represents excellent value.

            Recommended betting – time of first goal: over 28 minutes 1/1 Coral

            Double Chance:

            There are some cracking matches to choose from this weekend. We have picked out a 2.78 four-fold at Bwin We immediately turn to Aston Villa and Swansea. Swansea pushed Sunderland all the way in their last game pushing a 2-2 draw. Villa have not won this season and Swansea are yet to lose. Swansea are best 8/13 at Coral to avoid losing if you want the best price on the single.

            Oxford need to stop their losing run and can do at Burton. Oxford have a surplus of a goal, whereas Burton have a deficit of two goals and have only won two in five. Oxford will want at least a point away to stop the rot, and we think they are strong enough to salvage a draw with a best price 2/5 at Bwin and Ladbrokes. Next up on our line is a banker in Norway with Molde at home chasing for the title. They have picked up points in seven of their last ten matches, whereas opponents Haugesund have picked up points in five out of ten. Molde are strong at home and should avoid losing. Lastly we pick banker AC Milan who entertain Atlanta and rarely lost at the San Siro.

            Four fold pays 2.78 at Bwin

              Friday 7 September 2012 Football Internationals Betting Tips

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              We have been cooped up in bed nursing sever manflu today so we unfortnately have no Horse Racing Tips for Friday, However as a bonus our Football tipster Dave “Lockup” tipster has previewed today’s games below.

              Netherlands Versus Turkey

              The Netherlands on paper should win this. With their class and ability should see off a Turkey side in theory. With Holland’s record though it does not inspire confidence. Will they deliver? Be complacent? Well lets look at the odds to see what the bookmakers think:

              Best match odds:

              Netherlands: 4/7 Coral
              Turkey: 6/1 BetVictor
              Draw: 33/10 BetVictor

              Many we see the game getting off to a slow start. We expect to see goals but it may not be until after the break. 21/20 that the second half produces the most goals and that inspires confidence for us.

              Recommendation – Most goals: second half 21/20

              Finland Versus France

              Finland have seen a majority of their games produce goals. Ironically France have not played a game in six, where the final result has gone beyond two goals. France are aware their main rivals are Spain, and in a group of five, only the winner of the group is guaranteed a ticket to Brazil! A much-improved Finland outfit will see them fancying an upset, but what do the bookies say?

              Best match odds:

              France: 8/15 Stan James
              Finland: 6/1 BetVictor
              Draw: 3/1 BetVictor

              We think France will have to win the opener, but it will not be easy. We think they will have to score goals though to make the most of their opener and would normally therefore suggest William Hills race to two goals market, which pays 17/20 on France netting two before Finland, but belief Finland have enough power to net a goal. Our recommendation will therefore be on Finland to score, which is a 4/5 shot at Boylesports.

              Recommendation: Finland to score 4/5 at Boylesports.

              Kazakhstan v Republic of Ireland
              Interesting opener for the Republic of Ireland, who generally play tight matches and often result in fewer than three goals than beyond. A couple of key changes to the Ireland line up, such as the experience of Shay Given is no longer after his retirement.
              Match odds:
              Kazakhstan – 4/1 Coral
              Ireland – 4/5 Skybet
              Draw – 5/2 BetVictor
              Ireland are seen as the favourites and frankly will have to register all the points they can, if they are to beat the likes of Germany, Sweden and Austria to the World cup. The Irish are capable, but their requirement is to not be complacent with so-called lesser teams. Their manager will be spurring them on for a win, and only a win, can give Irish fans a spark of belief that they can really contend for the trip to the World Cup.
              Recommendation – Ireland 4/5 Skybet

                Johnstone’s Paints trophy Round 1 Betting Tips

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                We enter Tuesday with a slight glimmer of the weekend in front of us. Of course, by the time UK fixtures kick off it will simply be known to many as two down, three to go.

                With the international break emerging what better time to introduce the JP trophy. Those that are not accustomed to the JP trophy, it is contested between League one and League two sides. They are split into Northern and Southern sections, with each have a respective final, before the two regional winners face off next year. To describe the JP trophy is like the league cup of the lower leagues! Of course by saying this, it presents a possible minefield of which teams take it seriously to those not.

                JP Trophy fixtures:

                Accrington (11/8) v (33/13) Morecambe (11/5)
                Bristol Rovers (7/4) v (38/15) Yeovil (17/10)
                Carlisle (7/5) v (5/2) Preston (11/5)
                Chesterfield (13/10) v (53/21) Oldham (12/5)
                Coventry (4/6) v (16/5) Burton (101/19)
                Crawley (5/6) v (17/6) Gillingham (65/18)
                Dagenham & Redbridge (11/4) v (28/11) Stevenage (22/19)
                Exeter (1) v (19/7) Aldershot (43/14)
                Northampton (45/14) v (11/4) MK Dons (1)
                Oxford (23/10) v (5/2) Swindon (39/29)
                Port Vale (47/23) v (12/5) Tranmere (6/4)
                Portsmouth (135/67) v (5/2) Bournemouth (6/4)
                Rochdale (7/4) v (87/35) Fleetwood Town (17/10)
                Rotherham (1) v (21/8) York (7/2)
                Scunthorpe (21/10) v (5/2) Notts Co (32/21)
                Southend (14/19) v (29/10) AFC Wimbledon (9/2)

                Looking at the odds above, some of the matches have the bookmakers undecided. We have picked out a few, which we think will want a run in the competition, and others where both teams can be seen to score.

                Teams we think may qualify:

                Stevenage – 4/7 Paddy Power
                (Unbeaten in the league thus far. Their only defeat at the hands to Southampton in the league cup and play a Dagenham team, who are still winless this season )

                Fleetwood Town – 5/6
                (Only lost one in their opening five matches. A great 4-1 win against Aldershot on Saturday and play a Rochdale team that beat lowly Barnet at the weekend, but lost to Torquay in the previous game. Fleetwood’s goal difference is superior and are still in their honeymoon period in the league)

                Yeovil – 4/5 (Riding high in the league, still unbeaten and play a Bristol Rovers side who are second from bottom with only one goal in their league campaign thus far)

                Notts County – 4/5 Skybet (Notts County have won three in four last far and play a Scunthorpe team that have shipped eleven goals this far and only have a single goal to their names. Notts County if they do not win this in normal time will qualify)

                Both teams to score:

                MK/Northampton (Northampton have scored and conceded in every game bar their opener. MK dons have been a great coupon winner in the past, and the Northampton resilience will surely net them a goal. We will expect MK to net seeing as they have scored five and conceded two thus far.)

                Portsmouth/Bournemouth (A south coast derby LIVE on Sky may spur the teams to play at their very best. Bournemouth have seen goals scored and shipped in every league game thus far. Portsmouth bar their last game have a similar record. The affect of a LIVE TV match will surely see goals traded.)

                Southend/AFC Wimbledon (Wimbledon have scored six and conceded 13 thus far, with Southend netting four and conceding six. Sitting next to each other in the league and AFC Wimbledon’s ability to score even when they are being thrashed will surely see goals traded here.)

                The treble pays 5.39

                  Sunday Selections 26 August 2012

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                  A lot of Punters love Sunday betting for one of two reasons. The first being punters that got stung on Saturday and the Punters that won on Saturday wanting to extend their winning runs etc!

                  There are plenty of games to consider and in the Premier League, the game that stands out is Manchester City away at Liverpool. The Reds were less than convincing on Thursday at Hearts. They were thumped away also on Match day one and frankly a Man City win at 6/4 is BIG. Several punters including us will fancy this. Man city not to lose is HUGE at 4/11 as frankly we cannot see how Liverpool will beat City. Man City are 85/40 to be leading at the break with Stan James, which is also big, but using an insurance Draw/Man City double result at 5/1 with fine tuned stakes should ensure a profit.

                  Arsenal travel to Stoke in the earlier game and we feel that Arsenal seem damaged without RVP. They went to a bore draw at home to Sunderland last weekend, and Stoke are always a tough team to visit. Tony Pulis will spur his men on to take out the Gunners, but think looking at the stats we are in for a low scoring game. Skybet risk 4/5 on fewer than three goals and that ticks our boxes.

                  In Spain Seville are away at Granada and cannot determine why Seville are offered at such an attractive price. Surely they will be fancied to beat lowly Granada and can be backed at 8/5. Real Madrid look sure bankers at Getafe and at 4/11 is short, but minus 1 is evens at Ladbrokes and is a must seeing as this will be their preparation for the return leg of the Super cup next week.

                  Overall we have enough to bet on Sunday and will not get too greedy:

                  Recommended betting:

                  Real Madrid Win/Man City win or draw is 1.86 at Betfred by should help cover some cost for Sunday night out

                  Real Madrid – 1 Evens Ladbrokes
                  Under 2.5 goals in Stoke/Arsenal – 4/5 Skybet

                  Cheeky £4 Acca:

                  Man City win/draw
                  Inter Milan win/draw
                  PSG Win
                  Real Madrid Win
                  Valencia Win
                  Barcelona Win

                  Pays 6.52 at William Hill

                    Who were the profitable teams last season 2011 /12 ?

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                    Profitable teams of season 2011/12 UK & Scotland

                    This column is more out of interest over which teams made a season long punter the most money, and those that made the biggest loss. This is based on a £1 level
                    stakes over every league game played. Thanks to the racing post for providing the
                    information to us.

                    Whether the results influence whether you follow these teams again this season is
                    your choice. Prices based on the printed price in the RP on the day of the game!

                    1st – Wigan +24.82
                    2nd – Charlton +19.00
                    3rd – Reading +18.50
                    4th – Newcastle +17.51
                    5th – Cheltenham +17.23
                    6th – Southport +16.66
                    7th – Crewe +15.26
                    8th – Torquay +14.55
                    9th – Sheffield Wednesday +13.90
                    10th – Swindon +13.12

                    Interestingly Fulham presented a 0.10 deficit for the season and Braintree returned a +0.10 surplus!

                    The 10 offenders of the season:

                    1st – Wolves –23.25
                    2nd – Rochdale –23.10
                    3rd – Macclesfield –20.80
                    4th – Scunthorpe –19.60
                    5th – Telford –18.56
                    6th – Coventry –18.38
                    7th – Bath City –18.33
                    8th – Exeter –16.78
                    9th – Stockport –16.45
                    10th – Chesterfield –13.73

                    Scotlands five that you should have followed:

                    1st – St Johnstone +15.87
                    2nd – Dumbarton +12.62
                    3rd – Alloa +11.97
                    4th – Ross County +11.73
                    5th – Motherwell +7.12
                    Scotland’s five you should have avoided:

                    1st – Queen of the south –14.73
                    2nd – Dunfermline –13,75
                    3rd – Aberdeen –13.07
                    4th – Clyde –13.03
                    5th – Hibernian –12.92

                    Your initial assumption may be… where are Man City, Man United, Chelsea etc. The
                    answer is, if they continually achieve heavy odds on prices, the level stakes profit will rise far slower, to say a team pocketing a couple of bigger returns etc.

                    Man City for instance returned a surplus of 7.29 for the season, which was more than respectable.

                    Best of luck this season punters.