Breeders Cup 2012 Preview Day 2

Excelebration will lead Europe’s charge in tonight’s Breeders Cup, but will it be celebration or despair for the top miler.
Let’s face it, had this horse been racing in a different generation to Frankel we may well be talking about it in the same breath as the likes of Frankel and other great mile winners.
However, Excelebration’s unlucky streak came to an end last month at Ascot due to Frankel moving up in trip and should he repeat that form there will be little to oppose it.
At 13/8, many punters believe he is the bet of the weekend but he may not find things quite as easy as he did at Ascot.
He was fresh at Ascot for a start and even trainer Aiden O’Brien admits he will not know whether the soft Ascot race two weeks will affect him.
His biggest danger I believe will come from Moonlight Cloud who has been narrowly beaten by Excelebration in the past, but her connections insist she is very much the horse to beat.
However Excelebration oozes talent and if all things go well his classiness will be there for all to see.
Europe will kick off the day with the well fancied Dundonnell (3/1) in the first televised race of the evening.
The top class 2-year-old’s form has been justified after beating Steeler at York earlier on in the season before Tornado proved too much for him at Doncaster.
A horse that has gone very quietly about his business this season with scoring a grade 1 is Aiden O’Brien trained George Vancouver but he ran a very good race to be placed in the Dewhurst last out and could improve for it.
Noble Tune is America’s top hope after a very impressive season. It will be very interesting to see how he holds up against two of the most promising of two-year-olds.
Should you fancy both George Vancouver and Excelebration, you could be on for an Aiden O’Brien treble if you think St Nicholas Abbey can repeat last year’s heroics.
However I think it may prove one step too far for the Coronation Cup runner up, especially after that run on very heavy ground at the Arc last month.
USA’s point of entry has been exceptional this year and I can’t see anything but a US victory and at 4/1, I think there is money to be made.

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