Week 11 NFL Free Bet Game: Green Bay @ Detroit
After last weeks shocking performance from the Giants that we didn’t see coming we return to a staple. This week we like the Packers over the Lions in Detroit by 3. The line has opened early as low as a field goal. Expect to see action come from sharps almost straight away and watch the number skyrocket.
Detroit have been performing statistically well this season. Stafford is one of the NFL’s top 5 in passing yards, also has the highest number of attempts. The Lions offence lacks balance, only running the ball one-third of the time. Their only wins this season have come against St Louis, Seattle, Philadelphia and Jacksonville. Each win has seen Stafford throw for over 300 yards, while their rushing attack maxes out at 70 yards against Philadelphia. On the bright side Detroit’s pass defence is actually pretty solid – ranked 8th in the NFL – allowing 214 yards per game. Unfortunately the Lions pedigree doesn’t match the Packers.
Green Bay are fresh off victories against Chicago, New Orleans and Houston. The Packers strength lies in their turnover differential, a solid +4. More importantly they have forced 10 interceptions through 9 games. Stafford is prone to toss a few interceptions right into the arms of a waiting safety. Their pass defence will be key in shutting Detroit down – they be able to slow Stafford down by locking down his receivers and rushing Matthews from the outside. Green Bay have forced 28 sacks this year with Matthews collecting 9 bounties of his own. Rodgers and co will scientifically dissect Detroits secondary to squeeze out just enough yards and score at will.
Green Bay -3 (4 units)
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