Houston at Denver is our feature game this week.
Peyton returns to the safe playpen of Mile High as the Texans venture out of Houston for the first away game this season. Houston are a lazy 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games after winning by 14 points the week earlier. Combine this with 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points the game before and its clear once the Texans get on a roll they don’t stop.
Denver come home after a bone crushing, painfully long game against the Falcons in Atlanta – travel shouldn’t be an issue but their offense will be. Atalanta aren’t a highly regarded defense and they way they toyed with the Broncos offensive line is a worry. The Texans will exploit this with their bend don’t break defense, eventually they will get you and they are hungry. Denver has some young studs on defense including Dumervill and Miller who could distrupt and will block up a number of gaps slowing Foster & Tate.
This game will come down to who controls the ball better, maintaining field position and time of possession. Houston QB Shaub wont rip defense’s apart, he is a smart, methodical QB who will take a sack rather then an interception. Manning is a gunslinger and turnovers could be an issue again. Willis McGahee will be key for Denver, if he can pick up Manning’s slack and move the chains Denver stand a chance. I don’t see how the bookies have this line right though. Houston are balanced on both sides of the ball while the Denver offense is still being held together with sticky tape. With Sportingbet.com.au you can get HOU -1, an absolute steal. If you can get anywhere from HOU -1 to HOU -3 get on it for 4 units.
HOU – 1 (4 units)
Have fun, and gamble responsibly