Chelsea Vs Manchester United – FA Cup replay

RVP was stated in a red top tabloid stating for the fans not to expect a classic seeing as the FA Cup replay is being replayed historically not on a Tuesday or Wednesday night? Why is this?

 

We suspect that ITV did not want the game on the Tuesday due to Champions League, and Wednesday was not an option because of Chelsea’s commitment in the Europa League, so Monday was the only real option. What are the best betting odds for the match?

 

  • Chelsea – 6/4 BetVictor
  • Draw – 47/18 Pinnacle
  • Man U – 23/12 Pinnacle

Surely Manchester United with all their experience should be the favoured team, as their squad has depth, and they beat Sunderland on Saturday. Chelsea went to a 2-1 defeat to the Saints, so what did that say? 6/4 is too short?

Let us look at the Opta statistics for the game courtesy of optasports.com

 

  • This is the eleventh FA Cup tie between Manchester United and Chelsea; The Red Devils lead the head-to-head record by eight wins to two, although Chelsea did win the last meeting (the 2007 final).
  • The only previous sixth round meeting between United and Chelsea in the FA Cup is also the only previous tie between the sides to go to a replay; after a 0-0 draw at Old Trafford, the Red Devils won 2-0 at Stamford Bridge to progress in their treble winning season (1998/99).
  • The Red Devils have won their last two FA Cup games at Stamford Bridge (2-0 in 1999 and 5-3 in 1998); they last lost there in this competition in March 1950.
  • The last seven meetings between these sides in all competitions have seen 34 goals scored, with 18 netted in just two meetings so far this term.
  • Javier Hernandez has scored in six of the last seven meetings between the Red Devils and the Blues.
  • Chelsea have only lost one of their last 39 FA Cup games outright, winning 31 and drawing seven.
  • Indeed, the Blues are now unbeaten in 28 FA Cup games (excluding penalty shootouts), the longest ever run without defeat by a single side.
  • Juan Mata has scored five goals and assisted eight in just 11 appearances in the FA Cup.
  • Sir Alex Ferguson’s side have scored in each of their last 10 away FA Cup games, netting more than once in nine of those outings (26 in total).
  • The Blues have not lost an FA Cup game at Stamford Bridge since March 2003 (W20 D4) and have scored in each of their last 33. However, this last defeat (versus Arsenal) was the last quarter-final replay that they played at home.
  • Indeed, Manchester United were the last team to prevent Chelsea from scoring in an FA Cup game on their own patch, beating them 2-0 in a sixth round replay in 1999.

 

Where do we go from here?

 

Of course last time they played, Manchester United went to a comfortable 2-0 lead before blowing the game and drawing the game 2-2.

 

In their entire hisory they have played 51 times, with Man U edging it 18 wins, to Chelsea’s 17 and 16 draws. In the last five games alone Chelsea have been unable to beat United in normal time. On the over 2.5 statistics, 56.7% of Chelsea’s games have gone above 2 goals, with United standing on 63.3% of the 30 games played this season.

Man U are unmissable at 8/15 double chance or +1 goal handicap, with Man U at evens with Paddy Power to set up a showdown with Manchester City by reigning supreme! Seeing as the teams may not be all at 100%, why not consider under 2.5 goals at 11/8 with BetVictor.

 

Recommended betting:

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    Aston Villa v Bradford City

    Aston Villa have the tall task of turning around a 3-1 defeat in the first leg:

    Best match odds:

    • Villa – 7/17 Pinnacle
    • Draw – 9/2 Betfred
    • Bradford – 41/5 Pinnacle

    Opta facts:
    • Villa’s defeat away at Bradford in the first leg was their first-ever League Cup defeat to a side from the fourth tier (W23, D4).
    • In the first leg Villa racked up 11 shots on target, more than they have managed in any other game (in all competitions this season) but could only score one goal (Bradford had eight on target and bagged three).
    • The Bantams have a fine record in penalty shootouts in recent cup and knock-out competitions, winning their last nine shootouts, notably defeating Arsenal and Wigan in this year’s Capital One Cup.
    • If Bradford can progress to the final, they will be the first fourth-tier side to defeat three top-flight teams in the same League Cup competition.
    • Villa have one victory in five home games in all competitions (L3 D1).
    • The Bantams are without a win in five away games, losing three and drawing two.
    • Only Theo Walcott has scored more goals in the League Cup this season than the in form Bradford striker Nahki Wells (three goals), he also has 13 in League Two this season.
    • Should Bradford progress it will be their first major cup final since 1911, when they managed to win the FA Cup beating Newcastle 1-0 when the final was replayed after a 0-0 draw.
    • Villa last reached the League Cup final in 2010, eventually losing 2-1 to Manchester United. It was the eighth time the Villans have made it to the final.
    • Villa have never been knocked out at this stage by lower league opposition, winning all three previous ties against lower league sides.
    We are shocked to see that Villa are just 6/5 to qualify and are no less than evens at Stan James. They will need to win at least 2-0 to force extra time. This could be a layers paradise, as we need to establish are Villa good enough to be in the final?
    Bookies are adamaent the game will go over 2.5 goals, which we wont touch, as Bradford will do their best to see the 90 minutes out!
    Blue Square go total goal minutes at 150 minutes with 5/6 on offer. This is better than the spread of Bet365 and BetVictor.

    Swansea City v Chelsea

    The tall task is whether Chelsea could also overturn a 2-0 deficit, especially being away at Swansea?

    You will get 6/1 that Chelsea face Villa in the final with Ladbrokes!

    Best match odds:

    • Swansea – 3/1 Bet365
    • Draw – 32/11 Pinnacle
    • Chelsea – 1/1 Paddy Power

    Opta facts supplied by Opta and http://news.williamhill.com/a/football/league-cup-opta-facts-semi-final-second-legs/
    • Swansea’s 2-0 victory in the first leg ended a run of five games without a win over the Blues in all competitions.
    • It was also Swansea’s first clean sheet in the League Cup away from home since 1993/94, a run of 19 games.
    • Should Swansea reach the final it will be the first time in their history. Before this season, the Swans had never progressed past the fourth round.
    • The last time Chelsea trailed by two goals going into the second leg of a League Cup semi-final was against Sheffield Wednesday in 1991 (lost 2-0) and they were eliminated 5-1 on aggregate.
    • The Blues have scored three or more goals in five of their last eight away games in all competitions.
    • Chelsea have a great history in this competition, reaching the final on six occasions, winning four times, two of which triumphs have come since 2007.
    • Juan Mata has scored two goals and assisted four more in just five League Cup appearances for Chelsea.
    Anyone believing Chelsea will qualify can trouser a 5/2 bet with Ladbrokes, so get on quick. The even money shot looks nailed on, seeing as they controlled the game versus Arsenal, and we believe that 90 minutes is all they need to make the final, and guaranteed European competition next season… in the event they have a shocker in the league.

    The 1/1 is nailed on and we expect bookmakers to slash this overnight. With Chelsea pocketing two first half goals in the Arsenal match can see the highest scoring half at 9/4 with Fred. You could back the draw also for goals in which half at 11/4 to give you that double chance.

    Chelsea are 7/10 to net first, and I have never seen a better bet in this game, so lets drain Betway of their revenues! Chelsea can also be backed at 2/1 with Blue Square to score in both halves, which could well be required!

    Recommended betting:

    • Bradford to qualify – 4/5 Coral
    • Over 150 goal minutes – Villa/Bradford – 5/6 Blue Square
    • Chelsea to score in both halves – 2/1 Blue Square
    • Chelsea to score first – 7/10 Betway

      Leeds Vs Chelsea Preview Capital one cup

      Leeds Vs Chelsea – Capital one cup

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      After a run of four wins from their last five games, the Whites will be confident of ending that run, despite the undoubted talent that Chelsea have in their ranks.

      It looks like it is the perfect time for United to be playing the London outfit, after they have travelled 6,000 miles from Japan where they were competing in the World Club Cup.

      Rafael Benitez simply won’t be able to play his strongest XI as they will be fatigued from the weekend; It’s a tough situation for the Spaniard though, as his team have fallen behind in the title race, they’re out of the Champions League and they lost in the World Club Cup final, this is by far their ‘easiest’ route to silverware this season.

      Best match odds:

      • Leeds – 18/5 Bet Victor
      • Draw – 13/5 Boylesports
      • Chelsea – 5/ 6 William Hill

      Chelsea will be up against a tough outfit in Leeds, but an extremely hostile atmosphere, the sort that several Chelsea players will not have experienced before may be Leeds 12th man!

      It is a sell out and it should be a really entertaining evening, and while it is tough to predict the line-up of Chelsea. Leeds could be ready to pounce and progress!

      Recommendations:

      • Leeds – to qualify – 9/4 Bet365
      • Both teams to score – 4/6 Stan James
      • First booking – Leeds 3/4 William Hill
      • Leeds +1 goal – 1/1 Paddy Power

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