Wigan Vs Millwall – Live on ESPN 17:15

363761[1]In what will be overshadowed by the Sunday game between Chelsea and Manchester City is the tie between Wigan and Millwall.

 

They want to win this:

 

 

Best match odds:

Millwall will be able to treat this more like a home game, having to travel to the other side of London. Wigan had not sold all their ticket allocation, suggesting a few extra Millwall fans potentially getting in.

Millwall are no strangers to Wembley having been in the 2004 final as beaten finalists to Manchester United. They have a similar tough task to lift the silverware and am sure their fans are enjoying every moment of this. Wigan have relegation issues, which could pose as a distraction, and were lucky to nick a draw off QPR last weekend. We were watching the game, and Wigan were not the best during this game playing against ten men QPR for much of the game.

Opta facts going into this game courtesy of optasports.com

 

  • Wigan have reached the last four of the FA Cup for the first time in their history.
  • The Latics are the 78th different team to reach the semi-final stage of the FA Cup.
  • Millwall were last in the semi-finals in 2004 when they made it to the final before losing to Manchester United.
  • The one and only meeting between Millwall and Wigan in the FA Cup was back in 1935. Millwall won a third round tie 4-1.
  • Wigan are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Millwall in all competitions, without conceding a goal (W2 D1).
  • The Lions have won just one of their last 13 clashes with top flight opposition in the FA Cup (D4 L8). However, that victory came in this year’s competition when they eliminated Aston Villa.
  • Wigan have failed to score just once in their last 11 FA Cup matches against opponents from lower divisions.
  • Of those 11 matches, Wigan have lost just two, winning five and drawing four.
  • Millwall have won four and lost just one of their last six FA Cup matches played at a neutral venue.
  • This will be Wigan’s first game at Wembley since 2000 when they lost 3-2 to Gillingham in the then Football League Second Division Play-Off.
  • Millwall have conceded just one goal in their five FA Cup matches so far this season.
  • Jordi Gomez has scored three goals and assisted two more in the FA Cup this season. The Spaniard played a part in two of their three goals against Everton in the quarter-final.

 

Both teams come into this, with just one defeat in six games each. Millwall’s season is effectively over, so they can concentrate all their energies for this game. Both teams will attack, but expect it to take a while to break the deadlock, so could anticipate a few corners in the game.

We will expect a low scoring affair from the game, as both teams play with pride, with bookies hedging around 5/6 on this outcome, especially at Boylesports. I do not expect this game to be settled in 90 minutes and am inclined to not ignore the 21/20 on offer from Bet365, that Millwall will win or draw the game, in the double chance market.

 

Recommended betting:

  • Time of first goal – after 27 minutes – 1/1 Betfred
  • Under 2.5 goals and over 10 corners – 11/5 Paddy Power
  • Millwall or draw – 21/20 Bet365