World Grand Prix Darts Day 3 Betting Tips


We have warmly settled into the autumn/winter season of the PDC season, and yes, we have not put our heating on yet!
We may laugh out loud, but we are all business here and we enter night three of the competition, seeing night two’s action see a near 9-darter from Van Gerwen. There was also plenty of shocks including Raymond van Barneveld and James Wade going out at the first hurdle. What will tonight have in store

Schedule of play:

Wednesday 10th October 2012:

Brendan Dolan (11/13) Vincent van der Voort (11/10)
Justin Pipe (7/11) Kevin Painter (6/4)
Phil Taylor (1/5) Robert Thornton (4)
Mervyn King (6/4) Dave Chisnall (4/6)

We see above a re-match of the UK open back in june and our match of the night will go with King and Chisnall.

With the longer format, players will be able to settle in much easier. The first round demonstrated a complacency ban, and this affected some players getting off slowly. Phil Taylor was tested but not phased in his opener.

Dolan Vs Voort

Vincent faced an Irish player in the first round and gets the tougher opponent with Brendan Dolan. How can we forget Dolan’s 9 darter last year. He is so proud of it, and so he should.

Best match odds:

Dolan – 17/20 Sportingbet

Voort – 11/10

Vincent was hardly convincing in beating William O’ Connor and went down to a finale leg, which nearly went against the Dutchman. Remember the format is best of five sets, so in theory the minimum leg to be played is nine. Blue Square go 10/11 on over 17.5 legs meaning in essence if the game goes four sets they must all have two five leg sets and two four leg sets to win. This provides little or no value and pretty much banks on a fifth set occurring for the bet to win. Part of me wants to back a highest checkout score, but with the more sets on offer, makes the chances more optimistic. On their day, Voort will score more maximums than Dolan and is 10/11 with Boylesports to oblige. Voort is 1/7 with a 2.5 set headstart requiring just one to win. Some ACCA’s will go with this.

We are struggling to find a decent bet for this, so keep an eye on @LockupTipster on Twitter for a possible in play!

Pipe Vs Painter

Both players were considered underdogs in their first round matches. Both are quality players and it is only a matter of time before Pipe wins an on stage major!

Best match odds:

Pipe – 8/13 Boylesports

Painter – 6/4 Coral

The bookies are writing Kevin off, and he won a rare whitewash against competent Kim Huybrechts in round one. Justin Pipe took out European Champion Simon Whitlock and deserved the win. Both players are grafters of the game, but we believe Justin is shorter than he should be.

Kevin Painter is a bargain price of 1/1 to trouser the first maximum with Boylesports and Betfred. Kevin Painter is priced at 1/1 with Paddy Power to score a 102+ checkout in the match and he will certainly have a great opportunity to achieve this. We are convinced Kevin can get the opening 180 and this will be our recommendation. Pipe is a strong candidate to win, but 8/13 does not appeal, and with the correct scores permutations; there is little value to be achieved here.

Phil Taylor Vs Robert Thornton

Taylor wouldn’t have forgotten about his defeat to thornton for the UK open crown in June.

Best match odds:

Taylor – 1/5 Coral

Thornton – 4/1 Ladbrokes

Thornton has been playing the darts of his career. An early scare in round one will have woken Thornton up. He will have the leveller with Taylor again, if he can be consistent with his double in starts. Robert is 4/6 +2.5 sets, which is excellent value, seeing as he only has to win a set. Taylor is as big as 6/4 to win 3-0, which is poor value in respect of Thornton. This wont be bothering him, and +2.5 must be a bet to seriously consider.

Mervyn King Vs Dave Chisnall

As mentioned at the beginning, in our view, the games of the night with Chisnall continuing his climb up the rankings and King attempting to re-enter the fray.
Best match odds:

King – 6/4 Stan James

Chisnall – 4/6 Blue Square

King will be seen by fans as value at this price. King is rock steady and the ultimate professional on stage. We even saw him laughing with the crowd, which meant he enjoys the Irish crowd. It has been ages since we saw a relaxed King, having nothing to lose etc, and taking out the bull, Terry Jenkins.

King is best 8/13 +1.5 sets, which does not appeal so to speak. Chisnall is short admittedly, but the match is capable of going the distance. As mentioned earlier, the boundary has been made at 17.5 legs. Not all the bookies have released their prices, so we are hesitant to to make a recommendation on this market, so await confirmation on Twitter @lockuptipster. Boylesports go just 4/6 on 8 or more maximums in the game. With five between them combined in the opening round may give more opportunity to add to this.

Recommendations:

Dolan/Voort – Voort Most 180s 10/11 Boylesports
Pipe/Painter – 1st 180 Painter 1/1 Paddy Power
Taylor/Thornton – Thornton +2.5 sets 4/6 bookies
King/Chisnall – 8+ 180’s 4/6 Boylesports

Readers that do not have a Twitter account, I am contactable via email on – contactlockuptipster@gmail.com

Darts World Grand Prix

If the final checkout of any match is 100+, we will refund your losing betting-in-running match bets on that match

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    PDC World Grand Prix Darts Day 2 Betting Tips

    With some fair prices we are in for a great night, and hopefully some successful outcomes.

    Order of play:

    First Round
    Steve Beaton v Andy Smith
    Andy Hamilton v Mark Webster
    Michael van Gerwen v Colin Lloyd
    Wes Newton v Ronnie Baxter
    James Wade v Colin Osborne
    Adrian Lewis v Richie Burnett
    Raymond van Barneveld v Ian White
    Michael Mansell v Paul Nicholson

    Steve Beaton v Andy Smith
    With Steve Beaton pondering around the top 32, a good run could be significant for the bronze Adonis to remain inside the circle of the top 32. With players like Ian White forcing his way up the rankings, Steve cannot be complacent.

    Best match odds
    Beaton – 10/11 Coral
    Smith – 11/10 Totesport

    There is little value in the handicaps and two fairly close players in ability, means this could go either way. Skybet disagree and think the game will be settled in under 10.5 legs at 8/11. Skybet go evens that the game will go over 2.5 sets, which may be the safer bet. Beaton has beaten Smith on four of the five occasions and have mainly met at Championship Darts at Crondon Park.

    We would love to see Beaton take this, but see over 2.5 sets as our recommended bet.

    Andy Hamilton v Mark Webster

    Mark Webster has shattered confidence at the moment and may struggle to hit a double. Hamilton has had the best year of his career and should be rock steady in winning this. In nine matches, Hamilton has beaten Webster seven times.

    Best match odds
    Hamilton – 8/13 Boylesports
    Webster – 6/4 general

    Hamilton is best priced 8/13 at Boylesports to beat 6/4 Webster with the same firm going 15/8 that Hamilton wins this to nil.

    Michael van Gerwen v Colin Lloyd

    What can we say about Michael Van Gerwen, he won a players championship and secured another appearance at the finals at Minehead at the end of November. He plays a veteran Lloyd that on his day is quite an unstoppable player. The former winner and number one in the world will be aware of Van Gerwen’s weaknesses and will have to work on this

    Best match odds:
    MVG – 4/6 Coral
    Lloyd – 5/4 Totesport

    The pair have met eleven times, with Gerwen winning three of those, including two of the last three. With the confidence of MVG, he has been seen as a Longshot outsider for the crown. We are confident he will deliver and will take the 4/6 on offer.

    Wes Newton v Ronnie Baxter

    The two locals from Fleetwood and Blackpool respectively meet again. Having played three times in 2012, Wes has won two of the three. Wes beat Ronnie in a weekend player’s championship and goes in as the 4/7 favourite with Skybet.

    Best match odds:
    Newton – 4/7 Skybet
    Baxter – 6/4 Totesport

    Newton will be fully focussed after missing out at the European Championship finals, with the belief he can do it again. It is difficult looking past Newton at 7/4 with William Hill. We will take Newton at 2-0 (7/4) and 2-1 (5/2) for an even money return stakes adjusted.

    James Wade v Colin Osborne

    James Wade has been unwell recently and is unknown on the form of the machine. No bet for this game

    Adrian Lewis v Richie Burnett

    We are big fans of Burnett who is a proper grafter. He plays Adrian Lewis, who knows he could snatch the world ranking from Taylor with a long campaign and the Power is de-railed in the first or second round.

    Best match odds:

    Lewis – 4/9 Skybet
    Burnett – 9/4 Stan James

    The pair have met three times all told, with Lewis winning all their encounters. Most recently in the World cup of Darts earlier in the year, Lewis won 4-3. The pair met in the competition back in 2004, where Lewis won 2-0. A repeat performance will see 11/8 Lewis wins 2-0 with Skybet and this gets the green light.
    Raymond van Barneveld v Ian White

    Barney has a tough opponent in Ian White in round one. He will know he will have to get out the blocks early, as White is building up a profile to enter the top 32 and could well do so by the time the World Championships are over.

    Best match odds:

    Barney – 1/2 Skybet
    White – 13/8

    The thing we need to establish is whether Ian White can win a set. We are finding this difficult to establish looking at the form guide. Over 1.5 180’s for Barney is a banker at 4/6 and presents some value.

    Michael Mansell v Paul Nicholson
    The crowd will be very hostile towards Nicholson, and this is how he likes it. We think Mansell with the crowd behind him should be capable of winning a few legs, and is 8/15 with BetVictor +1.5 sets

    Best match odds

    Nicholson – 8/13 Paddy Power
    Mansell – 6/4 bookies

    If you think Mansell can win, you will expect Nicholson to get a set on the board also, so it may pay to take out correct scores on the following:

    Nicholson: 2-1 5/2 Skybet
    Mansell: 2-1 7/2 Skybet

    Alternatively over 2.5 sets is 11/10 with Paddy Power, although calculating the stake on the correct scores will return an accumulated odds return of 6/4 +. The only danger is if either player wins 2-0 and we feel if Nicholson really shows up, the danger is him winning 2-0.

    We recommend Nicholson outright though overall.

    Lockup Tipsters recommended selections:

    • Hamilton – 8/13 Boylesports
    • Beaton/Smith – Over 2.5 sets 1/1 Skybet (Or Beaton 2-1 11/4 Skybet, Smith 2-1 3/1 Skybet) Adjust stakes accordingly.
    • Newton at 2-0 (7/4) and 2-1 (5/2) for an even + money return stakes adjusted.
    • MVG – 4/6 Coral
    • Lewis 2-0 11/8 Skybet
    • Over 1.5 180’s for Barney 4/6 Skybet
    • Nicholson 8/13 Paddy Power

    John Gwynne picks –
    First round matches – Night two

    Beaton
    Hamilton
    Michael Van Gerwen
    Wes Newton
    Colin Osborne
    Adrian Lewis
    Barney
    Paul Nicholson

    Darts World Grand Prix

    If the final checkout of any match is 100+, we will refund your losing betting-in-running match bets on that match

    Darts World Grand Prix Day 1 Specials

    Scottish Double – Both To Win: Thornton & Anderson – 13/8
    English Double – Both To Win: Chisnall & Jenkins – 13/8
    R.O.W Treble – All To Win: Whitlock, Huybrechts & Voort – 3/1

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