Well, well well – The power was switched off. We were not confident that Taylor outright at the beginning of the tourney would win it, especially at as short as 6/5. We feel that the tourney could be anyone’s now. With two seeds left, being Adrian Lewis and Wes Newton, the likes of Thornton, Pipe and Hamilton will fancy themselves big time to suffice.
Order of play:
Beaton vs. Hamilton
Steve Beaton has only got a few opportunities left now, seeing as he has been sliding to the edge of the top 32. Andy Hamilton has had a terrific year and will not fear anyone.
Best match odds:
Beaton – 6/4 Paddy Power
Hamilton – 4/7 Boylesports
Hamilton has looked rock steady thus far and beat Webster to nil. Beaton beat Smith to nil also, and it was no pushovers in neither of them. With the momentum of Hamilton will be spurred on to win. Beaton is as good as a top ten player when he turns up. It will be all down to the doubles and Hamilton is rock stead with his double 16.
The game could go beyond three sets, as Beaton is good enough to take a set. The bet of the night must be on the maximums market. Hamilton is 10/11 with Totesport to score most 180’s. The boundary has been set at 6.5 180’s and I am hesitant on this. The other bet we like are the under/over legs in the match. Blue Square stand out at under 17.5 at 8/11. This will come down to the double finishing.
Osborne vs. Nicholson
Osborne has been particularly ordinary for a while. Id call him as being beatable by some of the better pub players! Nicholson will see this as his opportunity and he will never be more fired up.
Best match odds:
Osborne – 13/8 Skybet
Nicholson – 4/7 Ladbrokes
We will be recommending Nicholson outright, but those wanting a bit of Value can back him at 4/1 Ladbrokes to win 3-0 and perhaps put a cover on at 10/3 Hills for 3-1. Nicholson is good enough and Osborne’s inconsistencies may show. Personally ill be looking to lay Osborne and trade in play. I do not see Nicholson losing and am there or there abouts sure about this!
Adrian Lewis vs. Michael Van Gerwen
With the confidence of MVG at the moment, winning a recent floor event he will be fired up to beat Lewis. Lewis struggled to get over the line against Burnett, but Burnett had the crowd behind him and caused a few comical moments. Lewis will be aware that if he wins the competition he could become world number one on the order of Merit, as mentioned before the tourney started.
Best match odds:
Lewis – 4/7 Betfred
MVG – 6/4 Blue Square
It will be tempting to initially lay Lewis, as MVG is a fast starter. We feel his confidence has never been higher and taking Lewis out will only boost this ego. Over 3.5 sets is just 2/5 with Skybet, as the other bookies go over/under 4.5 sets, John Gwynne commentator for Sky Sports thinks this will go all the way, and we agree with this also. To be taking over 16.5 legs in the match is 5/6 with Skybet and this is nailed on! Paddy Power go over 6.5 180’s at 4/6 and could be worth a look also.
Wes Newton vs. Ian White
This will be a tight game, as Ian White quietly took out Barney. We were not confident with Barney and White is emerging into the top 32 very quickly. Wes Newton beat long term friend Ronnie Baxter in round one.
Best match odds:
Newton – 8/13 Boylesports
White – 7/5 Bwin
A tough game to call with Newton making the final of the European Championships and also winning Championship League darts beating Lewis in the final. We watched both and Newton at world 6 could break into the world top 5 with a long run here and at the grand slam next month. White wont make this easy and we find picking a winner too tough to call. White is excellent value and can handle the pressure. Over 16.5 legs is the best bet to be taken here at 16.5 or more at 5/6 Skybet. Over 5.5 180’s at the same firm is 4/6 and this is worth a look.
Recommended betting:
Hamilton – 4/7 Boylesports
Under 17.5 legs – 8/11 Blue Square
Nicholson – 4/7 Ladbrokes
Nicholson – 3-0 or 3-1 (4/1 Ladbrokes and 10/3 Will Hill) Spread stakes evenly
Lewis/MVG over 16.5 legs – 5/6 Skybet
Newton/White over 16.5 legs – 5/6 Skybet
Over 5.5 180’s 4/6 Skybet
John Gwynne selections
Outright winner – Lewis 16/5 Sportingbet
EW- Pipe 10/1 Totesport
Beaton vs. Hamilton – Hamilton 3-1
Osborne vs. Nicholson – Nicholson 3-1
Adrian Lewis vs. Michael Van Gerwen – 3-2 both players (Adrian Lewis as requested)
Wes Newton vs. Ian White – 3-2 Newton
