What a week we are up to World Grand Prix Dart night 5. We enter the quarter final stage, where any player from here can believe they can win this competition.
The double in format has proved comfortable with the players that have reached this stage and in fairness all the players in this competition do not deserve any whitewash defeat!
Order of play:
Justin Pipe Vs Brendan Dolan
Mervyn King Vs. Robert Thornton
Andy Hamilton Vs MVG
Paul Nicholson Vs Wes Newton
Justin Pipe Vs Brendan Dolan
This match on paper will be pretty even. Layers favour Pipe on this one, through his ever concentrating ability to hit the high scores and not be affected any scoreline. We know Pipe is excellent on the floor and his beginning to show some form on TV now. Brendan Dolan has played well to get to his next challenge.
Best match odds:
Pipe – 7/10 – Pinnacle
Dolan – 25/19 – Pinnacle
We should not forget that Dolan defeated Pipe in the last recent Major in Germany 6-3. In a floor type format, we know that Pipe failed to recover from a lacklustre start and was capitalised on.
Dolan will have the fans behind him on this and will have to adjust to the deliberate slow action by Pipe. Dolan is given a generous price of 5/4 to hit 3 or more 180’s, which is value seeing the longer format but did only get one during his win against Vincent Van der Voort.
We do see a Pipe outright win, as he puts a lot of discipline into his play. No disrespect for Dolan, but his misses at key times may show under more pressure. Less than 5.5 180’s has appeal at Boylesports 9/10.
Mervyn King Vs Robert Thornton
This game has the potential to go all the way. King took Chisnall out and Thornton derailed the Power!
Best match odds:
King – 6/5 Stan James
Thornton – 4/5 Skybet
As stated above, we expect every set to be tight, and could well see a five set game. Skybet go 7/4 on a five set match, but also go 5/4 on more than 16.5 legs, which is surely the bet of the night. With 13 180’s between the pair in their last game Skybet are crazy offering 11/10 for 8 or more maximums.
Wes Newton Vs Paul Nicholson
What a game this could be with the prospects of entering a major semi final. Wes is the only seed left now and he will be able to see himself past Paul. Newton has a fairly good record against Paul, winning six of nine encounters in the past. They last met at the Grand Slam of darts in 2011 where Newton edged Nicholson 6-5.
We wont be expecting too many maximums in this, although a checkout over 121.5 should be considered once the odds are released on the game. This should go over three sets, and I imagine this to be 2/5 or less. Paul will have to start legs off quickly to be able to frustrate Wes.
Best odds to appear when they are released.
MVG Vs Andy Hamilton
This will be quite a game, and when the odds are released we expect them to be around 5/6 – 6/5, so around evens either way for either players. We believe traders will give Hamilton the edge, but Van Gerwen will be hot on the heels after his impressive elimination of Adrian Lewis.
With no maximum in Gerwen’s match, you must favour Hamilton on the maximums. Again, without the prices it is difficult to ascertain whether this is value or not. We would like to say this could go all the way; so taking over 16.5 legs looks sure fire seeing as Hamilton does not give up. Being the king of comebacks, if he goes behind he wont be far away. Equally Van Gerwen has so much confidence at the moment, this game could really go either way.
Recommendations:
Pipe – 7/10 – Pinnacle
Pipe/Dolan under 5.5 180s 9/10 Boylesports
King/Thornton – Over 16.5 legs 5/4 Skybet
Over 7.5 180’s – 11/10 Skybet
Newton/Nicholson – To be confirmed once prices are available via Twitter
MVG/Hamilton – To be confirmed once prices are available via Twitter
